SPY Stock Catalyst Calendar
This week and next: August 30 – September 12, 2026
Last updated: Sep 2, 2026 • 6:22 PM EDT
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The balance of trade for July will be released. Previous: $-73.3B Forecast: $-90B The balance of trade measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. Higher than expected balance of trade is bullish, while lower than expected balance of trade is bearish. The US trade deficit narrowed to $73.3 billion in June 2026 from $77.6 billion in May, broadly in line with market expectations, as imports declined more sharply than exports. Imports declined 1.8% to $388.0 billion, driven by lower purchases of capital goods and consumer goods, particularly computers and pharmaceuticals, while services imports edged higher. Exports fell 0.9% to $314.7 billion, reflecting weaker shipments of industrial supplies, including crude and fuel oil, and capital goods, although services exports increased on stronger financial services and travel. In the first half of 2026, the cumulative trade gap narrowed to $371.2 billion, down from a record $560.5 billion a year earlier, suggesting that US trade flows are gradually normalizing following last year's tariff announcements and the front-loading of imports that preceded them, although uncertainty over US trade policy remains. source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
The unemployment rate for August will be released. Previous: 4.1% Forecast: 4.1% The unemployment rate measures the proportion of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. A lower than expected unemployment rate is bullish, while a higher than expected unemployment rate is bearish. The US unemployment rate dropped to 4.1% in July 2026, down from 4.2% in June and below expectations, as many people left the workforce. The number of unemployed fell by 178,000 to 6.916 million, while total employment declined by 87,000 to 162.177 million. The labor force contracted by 264,000 to 169.094 million, with the participation rate falling to 61.4%, its lowest since early 2021. The employment rate also dipped to 58.9%, the lowest since September 2021. The broader U-6 unemployment rate, which includes discouraged and underemployed workers, was unchanged at 7.9%. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The number of non-farm payrolls for August will be released. Previous: -23K Forecast: 58K Non-farm payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This is a key indicator of job creation and consumer spending. Higher than expected payrolls is bullish, while lower than expected payrolls is bearish. The US economy added 79,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March 2026 than previously estimated, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ preliminary benchmark revision, representing a downward adjustment of 0.1%. The revision was concentrated in several major sectors, with retail trade recording the largest reduction of 154,600 jobs. Private education and health services followed with a 96,000 downward revision, while wholesale trade was revised down by 86,200 and professional and business services by 76,000. Manufacturing payrolls were reduced by 67,000, while leisure and hospitality and mining and logging saw smaller downward adjustments of 33,000 and 6,000, respectively. However, several sectors recorded upward revisions. Transportation and warehousing led with an increase of 135,100 jobs, followed by government with 99,000, information with 87,000, financial activities with 85,000 and construction with 62,000. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The amount of wholesale inventories for July will be released. Previous: 0.2% Forecast: Wholesale inventories is a measure of the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. Lower than expected inventories is bullish, while higher than expected inventories is bearish. US wholesale inventories rose by 1.3% month-over-month to $959.1 billion in July 2026, after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in June and largely surpassing the expected 0.1% gain, advance data showed. This marked the sixth consecutive month of growth in wholesale inventories and the strongest since March, driven by a rebound in nondurable inventories (1.6% vs -0.4% in June) and faster growth in durable goods stocks (1.2% vs 0.8%). On a yearly basis, wholesale inventories advanced by 5.7%. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The number of existing home sales for August will be released. Previous: 4.06M Forecast: Existing home sales measures the change in the annulized number of existing residential buildings that were sold. This is a key indicator of the strength of the housing market. Higher than expected existing home sales is bullish, while lower than expected existing home sales is bearish. Existing home sales in the United States fell by 1.7% from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 4.05 million units in July of 2026, relatively close to market expectations of 4.06 million. It follows a 1.4% decline in the previous month. Existing home sales declined in the South (-3.1%) and Midwest (-2%) regions while sales were relatively unchanged in the West, offsetting the 2% increase in the Northeast. Total housing inventory decreased 1.9% to 1.54 million units and the median price was $434,100 for all housing types, a 2% increase from last year. “Home sales have been remarkably stable, even amid the rising mortgage rate environment of the past few months,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Year-to-date sales are up 2.4% and there’s no doubt that the housing market would be thriving if average mortgage rates were to return near 6%”. source: National Association of Realtors
The core inflation rate for August will be released. Previous: 2.5% Forecast: The core inflation rate measures the average change in price of a basket of consumer goods and services, excluding food and energy. Lower than expected inflation is bullish, while higher than expected inflation is bearish. The US core inflation rate, excluding volatile food and fuel costs, eased for the second month to 2.5% in July 2026, the lowest in five months, matching market forecasts. The heavyweight shelter index increased by 3.2% over the last year, down from 3.3% in June. Other indexes with slower price increases include airline fares (+25.5% vs 26.5%), medical care (+1.7% vs 2%), recreation (+2.6% vs 2.8%), and household furnishings and operations (+2.2% vs 2.5%). On a monthly basis, core consumer prices rose by 0.2% in July, after being flat in the prior month and in line with market expectations. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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The ADP non-farm employment change for August will be released. Previous: 44K Forecast: 47K The ADP non-farm employment change measures the monthly change in private employment based on the payroll data of around 400,000 U.S. business clients, excluding the farming sector. A higher than expected employment change is bullish, while a lower than expected employment change is bearish. Private businesses in the US added 44K jobs in July 2026, the least in six months, following a downwardly revised 95K gain in June and below forecasts of 70K. The services sector added 47K jobs, led by education and health services (36K), financial activities (10K), professional and business (9K) and information (5K) while job losses occurred in trade, transportation, and utilities (-8K) and leisure and hospitality (-11K). Meanwhile, the goods-producing sector shed 3K jobs, amid a fall in natural resources and mining (-6K) which offset gains in manufacturing (2K) and construction (1K). Year-over-year, pay gains held steady at 4.4% for those staying in their jobs but job switchers saw a 7% increase, the largest since August 2025. "Job-changers are highly sensitive to real-time economic conditions, and their rapid pay growth implies supply constraints in parts of the labor market", according to Dr. Nela Richardson Chief Economist, ADP. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh gives his keynote address at the Kansas City Fed Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium[cite: 1].
The number of non-farm payrolls for will be released. Previous: -911K Forecast: Non-farm payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This is a key indicator of job creation and consumer spending. Higher than expected payrolls is bullish, while lower than expected payrolls is bearish. The US economy added 79,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March 2026 than previously estimated, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ preliminary benchmark revision, representing a downward adjustment of 0.1%. The revision was concentrated in several major sectors, with retail trade recording the largest reduction of 154,600 jobs. Private education and health services followed with a 96,000 downward revision, while wholesale trade was revised down by 86,200 and professional and business services by 76,000. Manufacturing payrolls were reduced by 67,000, while leisure and hospitality and mining and logging saw smaller downward adjustments of 33,000 and 6,000, respectively. However, several sectors recorded upward revisions. Transportation and warehousing led with an increase of 135,100 jobs, followed by government with 99,000, information with 87,000, financial activities with 85,000 and construction with 62,000. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The Nevada Gaming Control Board releases monthly statewide gaming revenue and win statistics for July[cite: 1].
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City begins its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole under the theme 'Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy'[cite: 1].
The amount of wholesale inventories for July will be released. Previous: 0.3% Forecast: 0.1% Wholesale inventories is a measure of the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. Lower than expected inventories is bullish, while higher than expected inventories is bearish. US wholesale inventories rose by 1.3% month-over-month to $959.1 billion in July 2026, after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in June and largely surpassing the expected 0.1% gain, advance data showed. This marked the sixth consecutive month of growth in wholesale inventories and the strongest since March, driven by a rebound in nondurable inventories (1.6% vs -0.4% in June) and faster growth in durable goods stocks (1.2% vs 0.8%). On a yearly basis, wholesale inventories advanced by 5.7%. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The U.S. Department of the Treasury auctions 5-year notes amid heightened focus on debt issuance mix and yield movements[cite: 1].
The change in personal spending for July will be released. Previous: 0.3% Forecast: 0.1% Personal spending measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all spending by consumers. Higher than expected personal spending is bullish, while lower than expected personal spending is bearish. US personal spending increased by $36.3 billion, or 0.2%, in July 2026 from the previous month, slowing from a 0.3% gain in June but exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, as an increase in services spending was partially offset by a decline in spending of most goods. Goods spending decreased $49.9 billion, driven by a lower spending on gasoline and other energy goods (down $14 billion), recreational goods and vehicles (down $13.6 billion), motor vehicles and parts (down $9.4 billion) and furnishings and durable household equipment (down $3.8 billion). Meanwhile, spending in overall services increased $86.2 billion, driven by higher spending on financial services and insurance (up $24.3 billion), health care (up $23.2 billion) and housing and utilities (up $16.4 billion). Meanwhile, inflation-adjusted consumer spending was broadly flat in July, following a 0.4% increase in the prior month. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
The change in personal income for July will be released. Previous: 0.2% Forecast: 0.2% Personal income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Higher than expected personal income is bullish, while lower than expected personal income is bearish. Personal income in the US rose by 0.4% from the previous month to $27,115 billion in July of 2026, picking up from the 0.2% increase in the previous month and firmly above market expectations of a 0.2% increase. It was the ninth consecutive increase in personal income, underscoring the resilience of the US economy to energy shocks and high borrowing costs. Meanwhile, disposable personal income rose by 0.5%. The increases were supported by higher compensation from private wages, government social benefits from increases Medicaid and Medicare, and personal income receipts on assets from personal dividends. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Durable goods orders measures the change in the total value of new orders for long-lasting manufactured goods and transportation items. Higher than expected durable goods orders is bullish, while lower than expected durable goods orders is bearish. New orders for US-manufactured durable goods rose by 1.1% month-over-month to $339.3 billion in July 2026, following an upwardly revised 0.5% increase in June and overshooting market forecasts of a 0.5% gain. This marked the strongest increase since April, mainly due to higher orders for transportation equipment (2.3%), primarily nondefense (12.7%) and defense aircraft and parts (4.9%). Solid gains were also seen for capital goods (1.3%), primary metals (1.5%) and machinery (1.2%). On the other hand, orders fell for computers and electronic products (-1.1%) and electrical equipment, appliances, and components (-0.4%). Excluding transportation, durable goods orders rose 0.4%, after an upwardly revised 1.1% growth in June and missing market estimates of a 0.6% gain. Meanwhile, orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up by 0.2%, following an upwardly revised 1.7% rise in June and below forecasts of 0.9%. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the Core PCE price index, with consensus forecasting a 3.3% annual increase in the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric[cite: 1].
The GDP growth rate measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is a key indicator of the economy's overall health. Higher than expected GDP growth is bullish, while lower than expected GDP growth is bearish. The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the second quarter of 2026, slowing from 2.1% in the previous quarter and matching the preliminary estimate. Personal consumption expenditures surged 3.4%, the strongest increase since Q3 2025, driven by a 4.3% rise in goods spending and a 3.1% increase in services. Fixed investment climbed 7.0%, led by an 8.5% jump in nonresidential investment, as spending on equipment and intellectual property products benefited from strong AI demand. Residential investment rose 1.3%, ending a five-quarter contraction. Government spending fell 1.0%, dragged by a 13.2% plunge in nondefense federal spending. Net exports also weighed on growth, as imports surged 12.5%, outpacing a 4.5% increase in exports. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
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Frequently Asked Questions
When is the next SPY earnings date?
SPY is an ETF, so a single earnings date is usually not the main driver. Focus on macro releases, rates, policy updates, and major constituent earnings windows shown on the catalyst calendar.
What events typically move SPY ETF?
Common movers include macroeconomic releases, interest-rate expectations, Fed communication, credit and liquidity conditions, and broad sector rotation affecting the ETF's holdings.
Why do investors track SPY catalyst events?
Catalysts concentrate information flow: they can reset expectations, volatility, and positioning. A dated calendar helps you plan around those windows instead of reacting after the fact.
Does SPY stock react to retail and macroeconomic data?
Many stocks, including SPY, can respond to retail sales, consumer confidence, inflation and rates, and peer results that read through to demand and margins—especially when no company-specific headline is scheduled.