SPY Stock Catalyst Calendar
This week and next: October 18 – October 31, 2026
Last updated: Oct 23, 2026 • 10:18 PM EDT
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Durable goods orders measures the change in the total value of new orders for long-lasting manufactured goods and transportation items. Higher than expected durable goods orders is bullish, while lower than expected durable goods orders is bearish. New orders for US-manufactured durable goods were largely flat month-over-month at $338.6 billion in August 2026, following two consecutive monthly increases and compared to market forecasts for a 0.4% decrease. Orders declined for transport equipment (-0.6%), namely nondefense aircraft and parts (-4.3%) and vehicles and parts (-0.6%), as well as fabricated metal products (-1.3%). Conversely, the biggest increases were seen for defense aircraft and parts (5.9%); computer and related products (1.5%); primary metals (1.2%); electrical equipment, appliances, and components (1.1%) and machinery (1.1%). Excluding transportation, durable goods orders went up by 0.3%, after a 0.7% increase in July and below the expected 0.6% gain. Meanwhile, orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, grew by 1.6%, after a 0.6% increase in July and overshooting market forecasts for a 0.5% advance. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The amount of wholesale inventories for September will be released. Previous: Forecast: Wholesale inventories is a measure of the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. Lower than expected inventories is bullish, while higher than expected inventories is bearish. US wholesale inventories rose 0.5% month-on-month to $964.2 billion in August 2026, below the 0.7% in the advance estimate and following a upwardly revised 1.4% increase in July. Despite the slowdown, inventories have increased for seven consecutive months. Nondurable goods inventories were unchanged, as declines in petroleum (-3.9%), groceries (-0.5%), and drugs (-0.8%) offset increases in farm products (6.9%), alcohol (1.7%), paper (0.6%), and apparel (0.6%). Durable goods inventories increased 0.8%, slowing from 1.2% in July, driven by gains in metals (3.1%), machinery (1.3%), and automotive products (0.7%), while computer equipment (-0.8%) and hardware (-0.2%) declined. On a yearly basis, wholesale inventories rose 6.4%, slightly below the previously estimated 6.6%. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The change in personal spending for September will be released. Previous: 0.9% Forecast: Personal spending measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all spending by consumers. Higher than expected personal spending is bullish, while lower than expected personal spending is bearish. US personal consumption expenditures increased by $190.8 billion, or 0.9%, in August 2026, the most since March, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% rise and accelerating from a downwardly revised 0.1% gain in July. Goods spending rose $114.1 billion, driven by higher spending on nondurable goods, including other nondurable goods (up $24.7 billion), gasoline and other energy goods (up $20.9 billion), and food and beverages (up $11.6 billion), while durable goods spending increased $48 billion. Meanwhile, spending on services increased $76.7 billion, led by higher spending on food services and accommodations (up $20.6 billion), other services (up $18.7 billion) and health care (up $15.1 billion), partly offset by lower recreation services spending (down $10.3 billion). Meanwhile, personal income rose 0.2%, while disposable personal income increased 0.3%. Inflation-adjusted consumer spending increased 0.6% in August, accelerating from a 0.1% gain in July. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
The GDP growth rate measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is a key indicator of the economy's overall health. Higher than expected GDP growth is bullish, while lower than expected GDP growth is bearish. The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.2% in Q2 2026, revised up by 0.7 percentage point from the 2nd estimate, following an upwardly revised 2.5% growth in Q1. The stronger estimate reflected upward revisions to investment, consumer spending, and government spending. The upward revision to investment reflected stronger private inventory and fixed investment, with nonresidential structures (particularly commercial and healthcare construction, led by data centers) providing the largest contribution. From an industry perspective, the growth was driven by increases in real value added across private services-producing industries (2.5%), private goods-producing industries (2.3%), and government (less than 0.1%). The largest contributions came from real estate and rental and leasing, information, durable goods manufacturing, and finance and insurance. These gains were partly offset by declines in transportation and warehousing, retail trade, and nondurable goods manufacturing. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
The change in personal income for September will be released. Previous: 0.2% Forecast: Personal income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Higher than expected personal income is bullish, while lower than expected personal income is bearish. Personal income in the US rose by 0.2% month-over-month to $27,627 billion in August 2026, following a downwardly revised 0.3% increase in July and missing the expected 0.4% gain. The $66.6 billion increase in personal income in August mainly reflected higher compensation of employees (0.3% vs 0.3% in July), led by private wages and salaries (0.3% vs 0.2%), and increased government social benefits (0.4% vs 0.4%), driven by Medicare and Social Security benefits. Meanwhile, disposable personal income went up by 0.3%, slowing from a 0.4% rise in July, while real disposable personal income was flat, compared with a 0.3% increase in the prior month. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
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The 13D Monitor Active-Passive Investor Summit gathers activist investors, institutional shareholders, and corporate executives at The Pierre Hotel in New York City[cite: 1].
October WTI crude oil futures contracts expire on the CME/NYMEX[cite: 1].
The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development release September 2026 new residential construction data[cite: 1].
The number of building permits issued for September will be released. Previous: 1.403M Forecast: 1.40M Building permits measures the change in the number of new building permits issued by the government. This is a key indicator of demand in the housing market. Higher than expected building permits is bullish, while lower than expected building permits is bearish. Building Permits in the United States decreased 2.1% month-over-month to 1.403 million units in August 2026, compared to initial estimates of a larger 2.7% fall to 1.394 million. Permits for buildings with five or more units fell 1.5% to 475,000, and single-family permits decreased 1.6% to 880,000. Regionally, permits fell in the Northeast (-15.8% to 128,000), and the Midwest (-5.8% to 212,000), but rose in the West (2.3% to 315,000) and were unchanged in the South (at 748,000). source: U.S. Census Bureau
The confluence of October 19 and a Monday marks the 39th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday 23% stock market drop[cite: 1].
The Federal Reserve enters a communications blackout period for policy officials ahead of the October 27–28 FOMC meeting[cite: 1].
The change in retail sales for September will be released. Previous: 1.3% Forecast: 0.3% Retail sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. This is a key indicator of consumer spending. Higher than expected retail sales is bullish, while lower than expected retail sales is bearish. Retail sales in the US increased 0.8% month-over-month in September 2026, following an upwardly revised 1.3% rise in August and well above forecasts of a 0.3% gain. Sales at gasoline stations soared 6.4% due to higher prices. Retail sales data is not adjusted for inflation. Excluding gas, retail sales were up 0.2% only. Other increases were also seen at furniture stores (1.3%), food services & drinking places (1.1%), health & personal care (0.7%), electronics & appliances (0.6%), food & beverages (0.4%), nonstore retailers (0.3%), and motor vehicle dealers (0.2%). On the other hand, sales stalled at clothing stores and fell at miscellaneous store retailers (-3%), building materials & garden equipment (-0.6%), sporting goods, musical instruments & books (-0.5%) and general merchandise stores (-0.1%). Meanwhile, sales excluding food services, auto dealers, building materials stores and gasoline stations, which are used to calculate GDP, were up 0.1%, following a 1.2% rise in August. source: U.S. Census Bureau
The core inflation rate for September will be released. Previous: 2.4% Forecast: 2.5% The core inflation rate measures the average change in price of a basket of consumer goods and services, excluding food and energy. Lower than expected inflation is bullish, while higher than expected inflation is bearish. The US core inflation rate, excluding volatile food and fuel costs, rose to 2.6% in September 2026 from a five-year low of 2.4% in August, slightly exceeding the expected 2.5%. The heavyweight shelter index increased 3.2% over the last year. Other indexes with notable increases over the last year include airline fares (+22.4%), recreation (+2.8%), medical care (+1.5%), and education (+3.8%). On a monthly basis, core CPI rose by 0.3 in September, the same pace as August, but above market expectations of a 0.2% increase. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The number of existing home sales for September will be released. Previous: 3.93M Forecast: 3.95M Existing home sales measures the change in the annulized number of existing residential buildings that were sold. This is a key indicator of the strength of the housing market. Higher than expected existing home sales is bullish, while lower than expected existing home sales is bearish. Existing home sales in the United States rose by 1.5% from the two-year low in the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 3.99 million units in September of 2026, not too far from market expectations of 3.95 million. Total housing inventory reached 1.6 million units with the increase, 1.9% higher than the previous month to represent 4.8 months of supply under the latest sales rate. Sales recovered slightly in the South (2.8% to 1.86 million) and the West (2.8% to 0.73 million), offsetting a drop in the Northeast (-2.1% to 0.47 million) and a stall in the Midwest (at 0.93 million). “Despite the small monthly gain on a seasonally adjusted basis, August and September marked the two slowest months for home sales this year,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Further increases in mortgage rates in recent weeks mean fewer buyers can qualify to purchase a home.”. source: National Association of Realtors
Nasdaq publishes its bi-monthly short interest positions report across all listed equities.
The amount of wholesale inventories for August will be released. Previous: 1.4% Forecast: 0.7% Wholesale inventories is a measure of the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. Lower than expected inventories is bullish, while higher than expected inventories is bearish. US wholesale inventories rose 0.5% month-on-month to $964.2 billion in August 2026, below the 0.7% in the advance estimate and following a upwardly revised 1.4% increase in July. Despite the slowdown, inventories have increased for seven consecutive months. Nondurable goods inventories were unchanged, as declines in petroleum (-3.9%), groceries (-0.5%), and drugs (-0.8%) offset increases in farm products (6.9%), alcohol (1.7%), paper (0.6%), and apparel (0.6%). Durable goods inventories increased 0.8%, slowing from 1.2% in July, driven by gains in metals (3.1%), machinery (1.3%), and automotive products (0.7%), while computer equipment (-0.8%) and hardware (-0.2%) declined. On a yearly basis, wholesale inventories rose 6.4%, slightly below the previously estimated 6.6%. source: U.S. Census Bureau
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem delivers a policy address examining economic trends and monetary policy at a Bloomberg event.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When is the next SPY earnings date?
SPY is an ETF, so a single earnings date is usually not the main driver. Focus on macro releases, rates, policy updates, and major constituent earnings windows shown on the catalyst calendar.
What events typically move SPY ETF?
Common movers include macroeconomic releases, interest-rate expectations, Fed communication, credit and liquidity conditions, and broad sector rotation affecting the ETF's holdings.
Why do investors track SPY catalyst events?
Catalysts concentrate information flow: they can reset expectations, volatility, and positioning. A dated calendar helps you plan around those windows instead of reacting after the fact.
Does SPY stock react to retail and macroeconomic data?
Many stocks, including SPY, can respond to retail sales, consumer confidence, inflation and rates, and peer results that read through to demand and margins—especially when no company-specific headline is scheduled.